Background
The world population has risen from 2.6 billion in 1950 to around 7 billion now, and is predicted to rise to 9 billion by 2050. Economists project that demand for food could rise by 70% by 2050.Most of this demand is likely to be from developing countries as they have the fastest population growth rates, and the highest number of people living with chronic hunger.They are also more at risk from resource shortages and the effects of climate change.The Millennium Development Goals aim to halve the number of people living with chronic hunger by 2015 and the UN Declaration of Human Rights recognises the Right to Food.The Food Security act proposed in India also is aimed at realizing and implementing this objective.
At the same time it is now realized that pressure to increase food supply can lead to deforestation exacerbating environmental degradation and climate change. Increasing food supply without causing a net change in land use means increasing production on existing land. This makes agricultural development in developing countries a pressing need.
Agricultural Development
Agriculture is economically important to developing countries: part of the definition of a developing country is having a majority of the labour force working in agriculture.One-third of Africa’s GDP comes from agriculture, and two-thirds of the labour force is employed in it.Most farmers in developing countries work on small holdings of less than two hectares.The optimal places to improve crop yields are areas such as sub-Saharan Africa and eastern India, where most of farms are rain-fed,with low inputs in terms of soil improvements or fertiliser.
GM science
GM crops are described by many different names – genetically modified organisms (GMOs), genetically engineered (GE), “transgenic” or “biotech” crops. In general, these all refer to a plant carrying an inserted DNA sequence that does not occur naturally in its genome (a ‘transgene’) and which has not been created by conventional breeding.
In 2012, GM crops were commercially grown in 29 countries, including 8 in the EU, 5 in Asia and 3 in Africa, amounting to approximately 12% of global crop land. The majority (>99% by area) consist of only four crops: maize, soybean, cotton and oilseed rape. Three main classes of trait are exploited:
- IR – Insect resistance – for maize and cotton and proposed for brinjal in India
- HT – Herbicide tolerance – used for all four main crops, plus sugar beet and alfalfa
- VR – Virus resistance – used for papaya, squashes, peppers, and being developed for plums.
India and China grow large amounts of Bt cotton, with an estimated 90% of India’s cotton crop being GM. Bt cotton is the cotton that has been modified to produce a protein from the bacterium Bacillus thuringiensis(Bt) , which acts as an insecticide for specific groups of insects.
Potential benefits of GM
GM offers the potential to improve crops in ways that are not possible through conventional breeding, by introducing traits that plants do not possess, such as herbicide tolerance or pest resistance. GM often has the same goals as conventional plant breeding. There are many potential GM crop improvements, although most are still at early stages of development. Examples include crops:
- That can grow in marginal or undesirable conditions, for example, saline tolerant rice.
- That can better tolerate drought or flooding, helping mitigate the effects of erratic weather patterns.
GM Crops for Small farmers
Current GM research has primarily focused on global commodity crops such as maize and soya. This has produced GM crops that could be grown by smallholders, but uptake has been slow. Other vital crops including millet, sorghum, cassava and cowpea, have not been a focus for seed developers.These crops have the potential for yield and pest and disease resistance to be significantly improved, as so little work has been done on them so far.
In some countries, e.g. India, China and the Philippines, there are instances of GM crops being grown ‘illegally’. This is done by crossing GM seed with local varieties, rather than buying ‘official’ GM seed from a distributor. This is primarily done by small farmers who cannot afford the premium for GM seed, or where GM seed has not been approved for sale in their country.It poses a particular problem for seed producers where liability clauses in biosafety legislation hold the original technology producers responsible for GM seed, even if it is used in ways that were not recommended. Appropriate regulatory infrastructures and fair pricing of GM seed could help to mitigate this.
Seed saving
Saved seed (collecting seed from crops to replant the next year) is an important resource for farmers in India.One of the major criticisms of GM crops in India is that for many commercially available varieties farmers need to purchase seed every year in order to maintain yields.As much of the current research on GM crops for developing countries is publicly funded, donor agencies are starting to require GM projects to allow farmers to save their seed. For example, all GM projects being funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation require the project to allow farmers to save their seed. The Indian government is also expected to take similar steps.
The Risks of GM
There is a polarised debate over the use of GM crops.
There are numerous studies examining the evidence for benefits and disadvantages of GM, as well as the extent to which this evidence is sufficient to fully assess the risks of GM.Environmental risks include the unintentional crossing of GM crops with non-GM varieties.Field trials have shown that this is possible in closely related species.There is no evidence so far in peer-reviewed established scientific literature showing a link between commercially available GM crops and a risk to human health,but there are always uncertainties. This had become a major issue in the debate over Bt brinjal in India.
There is also some evidence of GM crops causing environmental damage,although proponents claim this is limited to pre-commercial crops, and the ecosystem recovered within a few years.Because of the diversity of agricultural systems in different areas, it is difficult to generalise about the possible risks and benefits of GM crops. Any crop should be thoroughly assessed with regard to the technical, ecological, and economic, as well as the social risks posed in different contexts.Other solutions, including infrastructure, policy and institutional solutions, all need to be evaluated in order to determine if GM has a contribution to make to an agricultural development issue.
GM as a Component of Agricultural Development
- GM is not a single solution for all the problems facing agriculture in developing countries or even India. It has success in specific cases against particular problems. Current commercial varieties only combat problems with some pests and diseases. However, wider agricultural development issues also need to be addressed, for example:
- Crop storage and getting crops to market before they spoil. The Indian Government estimates that up to 40% of fruit and vegetables rots in the fields or on the way to market, and grains are also rendered inedible because of a lack of rodent-free cool storage.A lack of paved roads can cause food to spoil during transportation, particularly if it needs to meet international quality standards.
- Ensuring mechanisms are in place to allow benefits to reach poor and marginal famers, for example giving farmers access to crop insurance, which will protect them financially in the event of adverse weather conditions.
- There are also other agricultural improvements where GM could play a role, but other strategies may provide more cost-effective interventions. For example:
- Improving access to irrigation, which alone could in some cases increase agricultural yields by 100-400%.GM could develop plants that use water more efficiently, but improving access to irrigation through infrastructure development could be quicker and more cost effective.
- Improving soil fertility through increasing soil organic and nutrient content, as all crops require uptake of soil nutrients to achieve the best yields, even if they are modified to fix nitrogen, or have improved photosynthesis.
- Increasing resilience to extreme weather events, such as drought and flooding could be achieved by introducing drought or flooding tolerance into plants, or through improved agronomic practices such as ridge-and-furrow planting and mixed cropping.
Regulatory mechanism
One of the major problems in the development of biotechnology in India has been the lack of an effective regulatory mechanism with well defined procedures. This was also one of the key lessons drawn from the Bt brinjal fiasco. It is in this context that the Government has prepared a bill to set up a new biotechnology regulatory authority.
The draft bill seeks setting up of a biotechnology regulatory authority to regulate manufacture, import and use of organisms and products of modern bio-technology. The Biotechnology Regulatory Authority of India will be an autonomous regulatory body comprising a chairperson, two whole-time members and two part-time members.The proposed Biotechnology Regulatory Authority of India (BRAI) will assess the safety and efficacy of biotechnology products leaving decisions on commercialisation and use to other central and state agencies.
The draft bill provides for setting of inter-ministerial governing board to oversee the performance of the Authority and a National Biotechnology Advisory Council of stakeholders to provide feedback on use of organisms and products of biotechnology in society.
The bill also provides for an elaborate risk assessment process involving scientific panels of experts and representatives of concerned ministries including special public review system for evaluation of applications before final approvals.
Critics however claim that this system will be dominated by the biotech industry and its lobby as it will be largely influenced by the Department of science and technology and the department of biotechnology. In any case India needs to move forward rapidly in order to ensure that it is not left behind the technology developments currently underway.